Published in Academic Journals
Marianna Kudlyak, Murat Tasci, and Didem Tuzemen. Accepted at Labour Economics.
Comment on "The Emergence of a Uniform Business Cycle in the United States: Evidence from New Claims-Based Unemployment Data” by Andrew Fieldhouse, Sean Howard, Christoffer Koch, and David Munro
Marianna Kudlyak, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity. Spring 2024 Paper. Discussion slides. Link to the event.
Marianna Kudlyak and Erin Wolcott. Economic Letters. Vol. 242, Sept. 2024, 111894.
Marianna Kudlyak, Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 38 (2), Spring 2024: 159-80.
Mark Bils, Marianna Kudlyak and Paulo Lins. Journal of Labor Economics, Vol. 41(S1): S13-S59.
Bill Dupor, Marios Karabarbounis, Marianna Kudlyak, and Saif M. Mehkari. Review of Economic Studies, 2023, Vol. 90, Issue 5: 2674-2714.
Robert E. Hall and Marianna Kudlyak, Labour Economics, 2022, Vol. 79, 102244.
Robert E. Hall and Marianna Kudlyak. Journal of Monetary Economics, 2022, Vol. 131: 15-25.
Robert E. Hall and Marianna Kudlyak. NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 2022, Vol. 36:1-55.
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Marianna Kudlyak, and John Mondragon, Journal of the European Economic Association, 2020, Vol. 18: 2922–2971.
Jason Faberman and Marianna Kudlyak, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2019, Vol. 11(3): 327-57.
Marianna Kudlyak and Juan M. Sanchez, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2017, Vol. 77: 48-69.
Peter Debbaut, Andra C. Ghent and Marianna Kudlyak, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2016, Vol. 48(7): 1495-1513
Marianna Kudlyak, Journal of Monetary Economics, 2014, Vol. 68: 53-67.
David L. Fuller, Marianna Kudlyak and Damba Lkhagvasuren, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2014, Vol. 47: 39-53.
Andra C. Ghent and Marianna Kudlyak, Review of Financial Studies, 2011, 24:9, 3139-3186.
Published in Federal Reserve Journals
Andreas Hornstein and Marianna Kudlyak. Economic Quarterly, FRB Richmond, 2017.
Marianna Kudlyak and Juan M Sanchez. The Regional Economist, FRB St. Louis, January 2016 (lead article).
Jason Faberman and Marianna Kudlyak. Economic Perspectives, FRB Chicago, Vol. 40(1), 2016.
Marianna Kudlyak, Economic Quarterly, FRB Richmond, Vol. 101(3), 2015.
Maria E. Canon, Marianna Kudlyak, Guannan Luo, Marisa Reed, Economic Quarterly, FRB Richmond, 2Q 2015.
Andreas Hornstein, Marianna Kudlyak and Fabian Lange, Economic Quarterly, FRB Richmond, 1Q 2015.
Marianna Kudlyak, Economic Quarterly, FRB Richmond, 1Q 2013.
Marianna Kudlyak, Economic Quarterly, FRB Richmond, 3Q 2012.
Marianna Kudlyak, Thomas Lubik, and Jonathan Tompkins, Economic Quarterly, FRB Richmond, 4Q, 2011.
Marianna Kudlyak, Economic Quarterly, FRB Richmond, 2Q, 2010.
Chapters in Books
Robert E. Hall, and Marianna Kudlyak, in Hoover Institution Monetary Policy Conference volume, Getting Global Monetary Policy on Track, Edited by: Michael D. Bordo, John H. Cochrane, John B. Taylor. 2025. Book Paper and Slides
Giacomo Anastasia, Tito Boeri, Marianna Kudlyak, and Oleksandr Zholud; September 2022; in "Rebuilding Ukraine: Principles and Policies", Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Ilona Sologoub, Beatrice Weder di Mauro (eds), CEPR Press, London. https://cepr.org/publications/books-and-reports/rebuilding-ukraine-principles-and-policies , Hoover Institution WP No. 22130 , IZA WP , CEPR WP
Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Marianna Kudlyak, Aysegül Sahin. CEPR Policy Insight May 2022. See also: IZA Policy Paper No. 185, Hoover Institution WP No. 22122
Unpublished Working Papers
Robert E. Hall, and Marianna Kudlyak, FRB San Francisco WP No. 23-33. First version: Oct 2023. Latest version: Mar 2025.
Matteo Benneton, Marianna Kudlyak, and John Mondragon. FRB SF Working Paper No. 2022-13. Latest version: Dec 2024.
Antoine Bertheau, Morten Bennedsen, Marianna Kudlyak and Birthe Larsen. First version: Oct 2022. Latest version: February 2025.
Marianna Kudlyak and Brandon Miskanic, FRB San Francisco WP No. 24-26. First version: Aug 2024.
Robert E. Hall and Marianna Kudlyak, 2019 (February), FRB San Francisco WP No. 19-05.
Denis Gorea, Oleksiy Kryvtsov and Marianna Kudlyak, FRB San Francisco WP No. 22-16. Latest version: April 2023.
Marianna Kudlyak and Fabian Lange, January 2018, FRB San Francisco WP No. 17-20. Revision requested by American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics.
Marianna Kudlyak, Damba Lkhagvasuren and Roman Sysuyev. June 2013. Revision requested by Journal of Labor Economics. Presentations: U Toronto (2013), SED, Seoul, Korea (2013), North American Summer Meeting, LA (2013), U Warwick (2013), SOLE, Boston (2013), ASSA, San Diego (2013), A. Stockman Conference, University of Rochester (2012), UC Berkeley (2012)
Andreas Hornstein and Marianna Kudlyak, FRB San Francisco WP No. 20-05, February 2020.
Robert E. Hall and Marianna Kudlyak. Latest version: November 2021. Keynote Address by Robert E. Hall at the 2021 IZA Workshop "The Role of Search and Matching in Macroeconomics"
Ester Faia, Marianna Kudlyak, Ekaterina Shabalina, First draft: March 2021. CEPR Discussion paper No. 16008
Andreas Hornstein and Marianna Kudlyak, FRB San Francisco WP No. 19-07, First draft: February 2019. Latest version: July 2021
Samuel Engle, Jussi Keppo, Marianna Kudlyak, Elena Quercioli, Lones Smith, Andrea Wilson. Latest version: April 2021
Andra Ghent and Marianna Kudlyak, 2016, FRB San Francisco WP No. 16-31.
Andreas Hornstein and Marianna Kudlyak, 2016, FRB San Francisco WP No. 16-24.
Marianna Kudlyak and Felipe Schwartzman, 2012, FRB Richmond WP No. 12-04 Slides
Marianna Kudlyak, September 2010, Richmond FED WP No. 10-13. For Supplementary Appendix click here. This is an unpublished 2009 paper that describes the user cost of labor. The key point of this paper is published in "The Cyclicality of the User Cost of Labor", JME 2014.
Short Articles in Federal Reserve Letters
33. Assessing the Recent Rise in Unemployment
Greeshma Avaradi, Marianna Kudlyak, Brandon Miskanic, David Wiczer. Economic Letter, FRB San Francisco, Apr 2025, 2025-09.
32. Job Vacancies and Firms’ Labor Market Perceptions Data and background material
Marianna Kudlyak and Brandon Miskanic. Economic Letter, FRB San Francisco, Oct 2024, 2024-26.
31. How Aware Is the Public of Labor Market Conditions? Data and background material
Marianna Kudlyak and Brandon Miskanic. Economic Letter, FRB San Francisco, Sept 2024, 2024-25.
30. How Far Is Labor Force Participation from Its Trend? Data
Andreas Hornstein, Marianna Kudlyak, Brigid Meisenbacher, and David A. Ramachandran. Economic Letter, FRB San Francisco, Aug 2023, 2023-20.
29. House Prices Respond Promptly to Monetary Policy Surprises
Denis Gorea, Augustus Kmetz, Oleksiy Kryvtsov, Marianna Kudlyak, and Mitchell Ochse. Economic Letter, FRB San Francisco, Mar 2023, 2023-09.
28. Passing Along Housing Wealth from Parents to Children
Matteo Benetton, Marianna Kudlyak, Louis Liu, John Mondragon, and Mitchell Ochse. Economic Letter, FRB San Francisco, Nov 2022, 2022-32.
27. The Pandemic's Impact on Unemployment and Labor Force Participation Trends
Andreas Hornstein and Marianna Kudlyak, Economic Brief, FRB Richmond, April 2022, 22-12.
26. Comparing Pandemic Unemployment to Past U.S. Recoveries
Robert E. Hall and Marianna Kudlyak, Economic Letter, FRB San Francisco, November 2021, 2021-33.
25. Temporary Layoffs and Unemployment in the Pandemic
Erin Wolcott, Mitchell G. Ochse, Marianna Kudlyak, and Noah A. Kouchekinia, Economic Letter, FRB San Francisco, November 2020, 2020-34.
24. Why Is Unemployment Currently So Low?
Marianna Kudlyak and Mitchell G. Ochse, Economic Letter, FRB San Francisco, March 2020, 2020-06.
23. Who from Out of the Labor Force Is Most Likely to Find a Job?
Marianna Kudlyak, Economic Letter, FRB San Francisco, January 2020, 2020-02.
22. Involuntary Part-Time Work a Decade after the Recession
Marianna Kudlyak, Economic Letter, FRB San Francisco, November 2019, 2019-30.
21. Projecting Unemployment and Demographic Trends
Andreas Hornstein, Marianna Kudlyak, John Mullin. Economic Brief, FRB Richmond, September 2019, 19-09.
20. The Labor Force Participation Rate Trend and Its Projections
Andreas Hornstein, Marianna Kudlyak, and Annemarie Schweinert. Economic Letter, FRB San Francisco, November 2018, 2018-25.
19. Estimating Aggregate Fiscal Multipliers from Local Data
Bill Dupor, Marios Karabarbounis, Marianna Kudlyak, Saif M. Mehkari, David A. Price. Economic Brief, FRB Richmond, May 2018, 2018-05.
18. How Futures Trading Changed Bitcoin Prices
Galina Hale, Arvind Krishnamurthy, Marianna Kudlyak, and Patrick Shultz. Economic Letter, FRB San Francisco, May 2018, 2018-12. Reprinted in: GLOBAL COMMODITIES APPLIED RESEARCH DIGEST (J.P. Morgan Center for Commodities at the University of Colorado Denver Business School), Vol. 3, No. 2: Winter 2018
17. How Much Consumption Responds to Government Stimulus
Marios Karabarbounis, Marianna Kudlyak, and Saif M. Mehkari. Economic Letter, FRB San Francisco, April 2018, 2018-11.
16. How Much Has Job Matching Efficiency Declined?
Andreas Hornstein and Marianna Kudlyak. Economic Letter, FRB San Francisco, August 2017, 2017-25.
15. Measuring Labor Utilization: the Non-Employment Index
Marianna Kudlyak. Economic Letter, FRB San Francisco, March 2017, 2017-08.
14. Why Are Women Leaving the Labor Force?
Maria Canon, Helen Fessenden, and Marianna Kudlyak. Economic Brief, FRB Richmond, November 2015.
13. Aging and the Economy: the Japanese Experience
Maria Canon, Marianna Kudlyak, and Marisa Reed. The Regional Economist, FRB St. Louis, October 2015.
12. How Should the Fed Interpret Slow Wage Growth?
Marianna Kudlyak, Thomas Lubik, Karl Rhodes. Economic Brief, FRB Richmond, February 2015.
11. Youth Labor Force Participation Continues to Fall, but It Might Be for a Good Reason
Maria Canon, Marianna Kudlyak, and Yang Liu. The Regional Economist, FRB St.Louis, January 2015.
10. Is Involuntary Part-Time Employment Different after the Great Recession?
Maria Canon, Marianna Kudlyak, and Marisa Reed, The Regional Economist, FRB St. Louis, July 2014.
9. Does the Unemployment Rate Really Overstate Labor Market Recovery?
Andreas Hornstein, Marianna Kudlyak, and Fabian Lange, Economic Brief, FRB Richmond, June 2014. Working paper: A New Measure of Resource Utilization in the Labor Market
8. Not Everyone Who Joins the Ranks of the Employed Was “Unemployed”
Maria Canon, Marianna Kudlyak, and Marisa Reed, The Regional Economist, FRB St. Louis, January 2014.
7. How Risky Are Young Borrowers?
Peter Debbaut, Andra C. Ghent, Marianna Kudlyak, and Jessie Romero, Economic Brief, FRB Richmond, December 2013.
6. A Closer Look at the Decline in the Labor Force Participation Rate
Maria Canon, Peter Debbaut, and Marianna Kudlyak, The Regional Economist, FRB St. Louis, October 2013.
5. Job Search Behavior: Lessons from Online Job Search
Marianna Kudlyak, and Jessie Romero, Economic Brief, FRB Richmond, April 2013.
4. The Increased Role of Flows Between Nonparticipation and Unemployment During the Great Recession and the Recovery
Marianna Kudlyak, and David Price, Economic Brief, FRB Richmond, June 2012.
3. The Responses of Small and Large Firms to Tight Credit Shocks: the Case of 2008 through the Lens of Gertler and Gilchrist (1994)
Marianna Kudlyak, David Price, and Juan M. Sanchez, Economic Brief, FRB Richmond, October 2010.
2. Comparing Labor Markets across Recessions: a Focus on the Age Composition of the Population
Marianna Kudlyak, Devin Reilly, and Stephen Slivinski, Economic Brief, FRB Richmond , April 2010.
1. Deterring Default: Why Some State Laws Decrease the Probability of Mortgage Foreclosures
Andra C. Ghent, Marianna Kudlyak, and Stephen Slivinski, Economic Brief, FRB Richmond, Sept 2009.
Vox EU and CEPR Policy Writings
5. The Labor Market in Ukraine: Rebuild Better
Giacomo Anastasia, Tito Boeri, Marianna Kudlyak, and Oleksandr Zholud, VoxEU, January 26 2023
4. How House Prices Respond to Monetary Policy Surprises
Denis Gorea, Augustus Kmetz, Oleksiy Kryvtsov, and Marianna Kudlyak, Vox EU, 4 November 2022
3. The effect of the war on human capital in Ukraine and the path for rebuilding
Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Marianna Kudlyak, Aysegül Sahin. CEPR Policy Insight No 117. Also: IZA Policy Paper No. 185
2. What do recoveries from past US recessions teach us about the recovery from the pandemic recession?
Robert E. Hall and Marianna Kudlyak, Vox EU, 24 June 2020
1. Inequality and household debt: New evidence
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Marianna Kudlyak, and John Mondragon, Vox EU, 29 January 2014